CKB Risk Matrix

$0.0012 | Risk: 0.32

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 CKB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0004
Level 0.05 $-0.0002
Level 0.10 $0.0001
Level 0.15 $0.0003
Level 0.20 $0.0006
Level 0.25 $0.0009
Level 0.30 $0.0011
Level 0.35 $0.0014
Level 0.40 $0.0016
Level 0.45 $0.0019
Level 0.50 $0.0021
Level 0.55 $0.0024
Level 0.60 $0.0026
Level 0.65 $0.0029
Level 0.70 $0.0031
Level 0.75 $0.0034
Level 0.80 $0.0036
Level 0.85 $0.0039
Level 0.90 $0.0041
Level 0.95 $0.0044
Level 1.00 $0.0046

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes CKB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what CKB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.