Description

This analysis provides a forecast of CKB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.000819 0.000896 0.000979 0.001073 0.001178 0.001291 0.001424
2026-06-21 0.000709 0.000821 0.000948 0.001103 0.001289 0.001505 0.001776
2026-06-28 0.000620 0.000747 0.000898 0.001093 0.001338 0.001639 0.002041
2026-07-05 0.000561 0.000698 0.000868 0.001095 0.001394 0.001779 0.002319
2026-07-12 0.000504 0.000645 0.000823 0.001070 0.001408 0.001860 0.002522
2026-07-19 0.000456 0.000595 0.000778 0.001039 0.001406 0.001915 0.002691
2026-07-26 0.000419 0.000559 0.000746 0.001019 0.001417 0.001986 0.002885
2026-08-02 0.000391 0.000531 0.000722 0.001010 0.001439 0.002072 0.003108
2026-08-09 0.000375 0.000519 0.000721 0.001031 0.001507 0.002230 0.003456
2026-08-16 0.000350 0.000492 0.000694 0.001011 0.001509 0.002287 0.003645
2026-08-23 0.000328 0.000468 0.000671 0.000995 0.001515 0.002349 0.003848
2026-08-30 0.000311 0.000450 0.000654 0.000987 0.001534 0.002431 0.004092
2026-09-06 0.000302 0.000442 0.000654 0.001006 0.001598 0.002598 0.004509
2026-09-13 0.000295 0.000440 0.000661 0.001036 0.001684 0.002809 0.005033
2026-09-20 0.000280 0.000423 0.000644 0.001027 0.001701 0.002898 0.005336
2026-09-27 0.000269 0.000411 0.000635 0.001029 0.001738 0.003027 0.005731
2026-10-04 0.000254 0.000392 0.000613 0.001006 0.001726 0.003065 0.005944
2026-10-11 0.000239 0.000372 0.000587 0.000977 0.001701 0.003074 0.006096
2026-10-18 0.000227 0.000357 0.000569 0.000959 0.001696 0.003119 0.006332
2026-10-25 0.000217 0.000345 0.000556 0.000950 0.001707 0.003198 0.006650
2026-11-01 0.000213 0.000342 0.000559 0.000970 0.001774 0.003398 0.007270
2026-11-08 0.000203 0.000329 0.000542 0.000951 0.001764 0.003435 0.007511
2026-11-15 0.000194 0.000317 0.000528 0.000936 0.001761 0.003485 0.007790