Nervos Network against its 20-week moving average: risk level

CKB Risk Matrix

$0.0009450 | Risk: 0.27

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 CKB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0004044
Level 0.05 $-0.0001552
Level 0.10 $0.00009396
Level 0.15 $0.0003431
Level 0.20 $0.0005923
Level 0.25 $0.0008415
Level 0.30 $0.001091
Level 0.35 $0.001340
Level 0.40 $0.001589
Level 0.45 $0.001838
Level 0.50 $0.002087
Level 0.55 $0.002337
Level 0.60 $0.002586
Level 0.65 $0.002835
Level 0.70 $0.003084
Level 0.75 $0.003333
Level 0.80 $0.003583
Level 0.85 $0.003832
Level 0.90 $0.004081
Level 0.95 $0.004330
Level 1.00 $0.004579

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes CKB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what CKB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.