Conflux against its 20-week moving average: risk level

CFX Risk Matrix

$0.0417 | Risk: 0.37

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 CFX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0411
Level 0.05 $-0.0298
Level 0.10 $-0.0186
Level 0.15 $-0.007303
Level 0.20 $0.003964
Level 0.25 $0.0152
Level 0.30 $0.0265
Level 0.35 $0.0378
Level 0.40 $0.0490
Level 0.45 $0.0603
Level 0.50 $0.0716
Level 0.55 $0.0828
Level 0.60 $0.0941
Level 0.65 $0.1054
Level 0.70 $0.1166
Level 0.75 $0.1279
Level 0.80 $0.1392
Level 0.85 $0.1504
Level 0.90 $0.1617
Level 0.95 $0.1730
Level 1.00 $0.1842

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes CFX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what CFX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.