BSV Risk Matrix

$17.3343 | Risk: 0.37

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 BSV Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $1.8604
Level 0.05 $3.9444
Level 0.10 $6.0283
Level 0.15 $8.1123
Level 0.20 $10.1963
Level 0.25 $12.2803
Level 0.30 $14.3642
Level 0.35 $16.4482
Level 0.40 $18.5322
Level 0.45 $20.6161
Level 0.50 $22.7001
Level 0.55 $24.7841
Level 0.60 $26.8680
Level 0.65 $28.9520
Level 0.70 $31.0360
Level 0.75 $33.1200
Level 0.80 $35.2039
Level 0.85 $37.2879
Level 0.90 $39.3719
Level 0.95 $41.4558
Level 1.00 $43.5398

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes BSV's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what BSV's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.