Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BSV prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 7.989182 9.175384 10.470600 11.988974 13.719377 15.629222 17.896302
2026-06-21 6.878760 8.403856 10.168832 12.359831 15.004421 18.091273 21.966030
2026-06-28 6.081700 7.789503 9.855545 12.534406 15.911680 20.023866 25.407367
2026-07-05 5.399825 7.198689 9.458093 12.497334 16.471895 21.486027 28.285631
2026-07-12 4.946024 6.830155 9.275953 12.673662 17.261665 23.231568 31.579448
2026-07-19 4.538061 6.470698 9.055641 12.753031 17.892414 24.769043 34.654156
2026-07-26 4.100139 6.023252 8.668027 12.554961 18.104791 25.724804 36.961584
2026-08-02 3.661975 5.533072 8.174662 12.157206 17.988697 26.191538 38.580123
2026-08-09 3.399873 5.272990 7.982496 12.165061 18.433793 27.450782 41.371995
2026-08-16 3.061421 4.869757 7.547824 11.777306 18.260477 27.788684 42.813994
2026-08-23 2.719213 4.432668 7.028595 11.219727 17.784868 27.635413 43.488542
2026-08-30 2.432682 4.059949 6.579667 10.734568 17.379275 27.548315 44.234994
2026-09-06 2.386558 4.073225 6.739713 11.225785 18.542692 29.952357 49.022361
2026-09-13 2.312283 4.033449 6.809956 11.573065 19.491486 32.065312 53.458352
2026-09-20 2.207062 3.932871 6.772302 11.736895 20.145176 33.734826 57.259636
2026-09-27 2.073299 3.772797 6.623638 11.702107 20.461451 34.865454 60.225400
2026-10-04 1.986643 3.688142 6.595520 11.867571 21.119745 36.586071 64.256925
2026-10-11 1.891149 3.580335 6.519300 11.942052 21.621112 38.062301 67.941002
2026-10-18 1.761399 3.400603 6.304500 11.756183 21.652240 38.731974 70.257321
2026-10-25 1.613959 3.177348 5.997130 11.382950 21.324550 38.756400 71.431522
2026-11-01 1.533508 3.074841 5.902126 11.390319 21.681109 39.994311 74.819942
2026-11-08 1.408052 2.876730 5.617563 11.026493 21.332218 39.950550 75.879658
2026-11-15 1.271948 2.648062 5.260933 10.503366 20.653137 39.268259 75.721647