ATOM Risk Matrix

$1.7177 | Risk: 0.42

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 ATOM Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.4066
Level 0.05 $-0.1511
Level 0.10 $0.1044
Level 0.15 $0.3600
Level 0.20 $0.6155
Level 0.25 $0.8710
Level 0.30 $1.1265
Level 0.35 $1.3820
Level 0.40 $1.6375
Level 0.45 $1.8930
Level 0.50 $2.1485
Level 0.55 $2.4040
Level 0.60 $2.6595
Level 0.65 $2.9150
Level 0.70 $3.1705
Level 0.75 $3.4260
Level 0.80 $3.6815
Level 0.85 $3.9370
Level 0.90 $4.1925
Level 0.95 $4.4480
Level 1.00 $4.7035

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ATOM's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ATOM's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.