APE18876 Risk Matrix

$0.1383 | Risk: 0.60

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 APE18876 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0362
Level 0.05 $-0.0217
Level 0.10 $-0.0073
Level 0.15 $0.0072
Level 0.20 $0.0216
Level 0.25 $0.0360
Level 0.30 $0.0505
Level 0.35 $0.0649
Level 0.40 $0.0794
Level 0.45 $0.0938
Level 0.50 $0.1083
Level 0.55 $0.1227
Level 0.60 $0.1372
Level 0.65 $0.1516
Level 0.70 $0.1661
Level 0.75 $0.1805
Level 0.80 $0.1949
Level 0.85 $0.2094
Level 0.90 $0.2238
Level 0.95 $0.2383
Level 1.00 $0.2527

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes APE18876's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what APE18876's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.