Description

This analysis provides a forecast of APE18876 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.080352 0.093033 0.106906 0.123186 0.141747 0.162226 0.186511
2026-06-21 0.059266 0.075731 0.095408 0.120565 0.151778 0.189131 0.237107
2026-06-28 0.048272 0.066102 0.088764 0.119501 0.159905 0.210978 0.280172
2026-07-05 0.040813 0.059244 0.083911 0.119055 0.167503 0.231553 0.322177
2026-07-12 0.035047 0.053577 0.079537 0.118153 0.173645 0.249913 0.361930
2026-07-19 0.029024 0.046595 0.072287 0.112082 0.171514 0.256178 0.384867
2026-07-26 0.024031 0.040404 0.065335 0.105434 0.167511 0.258927 0.402340
2026-08-02 0.020227 0.035525 0.059720 0.100036 0.164567 0.262557 0.420826
2026-08-09 0.017830 0.032598 0.056784 0.098404 0.167072 0.274278 0.452030
2026-08-16 0.015290 0.029095 0.052496 0.094067 0.164725 0.278070 0.470856
2026-08-23 0.013563 0.026790 0.049945 0.092311 0.166322 0.288043 0.499973
2026-08-30 0.011908 0.024404 0.046981 0.089501 0.165799 0.294356 0.523310
2026-09-06 0.011054 0.023534 0.046831 0.092025 0.175371 0.319309 0.581610
2026-09-13 0.009658 0.021436 0.044219 0.089858 0.176548 0.330278 0.617397
2026-09-20 0.008621 0.019904 0.042471 0.089063 0.180039 0.345393 0.661342
2026-09-27 0.007766 0.018625 0.041055 0.088722 0.184277 0.362065 0.709183
2026-10-04 0.006983 0.017386 0.039563 0.088036 0.187723 0.377446 0.755659
2026-10-11 0.005955 0.015435 0.036338 0.083420 0.182906 0.376837 0.772015
2026-10-18 0.005034 0.013587 0.033094 0.078372 0.176661 0.372858 0.781417
2026-10-25 0.004307 0.012091 0.030438 0.074277 0.171942 0.371375 0.795360
2026-11-01 0.003860 0.011232 0.029133 0.073039 0.173165 0.381831 0.833730
2026-11-08 0.003341 0.010101 0.027042 0.069754 0.169573 0.382083 0.851284
2026-11-15 0.002993 0.009375 0.025841 0.068424 0.170200 0.391138 0.887605