ApeCoin against its 20-week moving average: risk level

APE18876 Risk Matrix

$0.1043 | Risk: 0.49

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 APE18876 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0347
Level 0.05 $-0.0205
Level 0.10 $-0.006324
Level 0.15 $0.007846
Level 0.20 $0.0220
Level 0.25 $0.0362
Level 0.30 $0.0504
Level 0.35 $0.0645
Level 0.40 $0.0787
Level 0.45 $0.0929
Level 0.50 $0.1070
Level 0.55 $0.1212
Level 0.60 $0.1354
Level 0.65 $0.1496
Level 0.70 $0.1637
Level 0.75 $0.1779
Level 0.80 $0.1921
Level 0.85 $0.2062
Level 0.90 $0.2204
Level 0.95 $0.2346
Level 1.00 $0.2487

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes APE18876's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what APE18876's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.