Aerodrome against its 20-week moving average: risk level

AERO29270 Risk Matrix

$0.5748 | Risk: 0.44

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 AERO29270 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1118
Level 0.05 $0.1641
Level 0.10 $0.2163
Level 0.15 $0.2686
Level 0.20 $0.3209
Level 0.25 $0.3731
Level 0.30 $0.4254
Level 0.35 $0.4776
Level 0.40 $0.5299
Level 0.45 $0.5821
Level 0.50 $0.6344
Level 0.55 $0.6867
Level 0.60 $0.7389
Level 0.65 $0.7912
Level 0.70 $0.8434
Level 0.75 $0.8957
Level 0.80 $0.9479
Level 0.85 $1.0002
Level 0.90 $1.0525
Level 0.95 $1.1047
Level 1.00 $1.1570

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes AERO29270's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what AERO29270's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.