Rigetti Computing price forecast: what the model says

RGTI SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$12.93

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$14.43

Bear 68%

$5.16

Bull 68%

$35.49

68% Range Width

210.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $9.13 $10.41 $11.77 $13.33 $15.07 $16.94 $19.11
2026-11-29 $7.46 $9.22 $11.24 $13.71 $16.63 $19.96 $24.04
2026-12-06 $6.23 $8.30 $10.80 $14.04 $18.08 $22.92 $29.14
2026-12-13 $5.36 $7.63 $10.54 $14.49 $19.65 $26.11 $34.72
2026-12-20 $4.45 $6.75 $9.86 $14.29 $20.32 $28.17 $39.03
2026-12-27 $3.89 $6.26 $9.61 $14.57 $21.61 $31.07 $44.55
2027-01-03 $3.29 $5.62 $9.05 $14.36 $22.14 $32.95 $48.80
2027-01-10 $2.77 $5.00 $8.45 $13.98 $22.39 $34.40 $52.50
2027-01-17 $2.40 $4.57 $8.07 $13.87 $22.97 $36.32 $56.92
2027-01-24 $2.08 $4.17 $7.68 $13.71 $23.44 $38.08 $61.17
2027-01-31 $1.89 $3.98 $7.60 $14.01 $24.61 $40.93 $67.15
2027-02-07 $1.69 $3.72 $7.38 $14.05 $25.38 $43.17 $72.32
2027-02-14 $1.50 $3.47 $7.15 $14.07 $26.12 $45.45 $77.71
2027-02-21 $1.35 $3.28 $7.01 $14.22 $27.09 $48.14 $83.88
2027-02-28 $1.23 $3.12 $6.90 $14.42 $28.14 $51.02 $90.49
2027-03-07 $1.14 $3.02 $6.90 $14.80 $29.53 $54.51 $98.22
2027-03-14 $0.9912 $2.77 $6.58 $14.55 $29.77 $56.08 $102.87
2027-03-21 $0.9124 $2.66 $6.52 $14.82 $30.95 $59.30 $110.40
2027-03-28 $0.8003 $2.45 $6.24 $14.58 $31.19 $60.88 $115.22
2027-04-04 $0.6913 $2.23 $5.89 $14.20 $31.10 $61.88 $119.08
2027-04-11 $0.6142 $2.08 $5.69 $14.08 $31.51 $63.77 $124.53
2027-04-18 $0.5435 $1.94 $5.47 $13.92 $31.82 $65.48 $129.74
2027-04-25 $0.5068 $1.88 $5.46 $14.21 $33.06 $68.96 $138.23
2027-05-02 $0.4601 $1.79 $5.35 $14.26 $33.79 $71.51 $145.13
2027-05-09 $0.4148 $1.69 $5.23 $14.27 $34.48 $74.08 $152.27
2027-05-16 $0.3799 $1.62 $5.16 $14.43 $35.49 $77.29 $160.74

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.