Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.008229 0.009613 0.011152 0.012992 0.015131 0.017538 0.020452
2026-06-21 0.006049 0.007839 0.010040 0.012942 0.016667 0.021289 0.027461
2026-06-28 0.004758 0.006690 0.009259 0.012918 0.017996 0.024790 0.034579
2026-07-05 0.003952 0.005946 0.008774 0.013070 0.019424 0.028475 0.042354
2026-07-12 0.003417 0.005450 0.008501 0.013397 0.021051 0.032555 0.051167
2026-07-19 0.002829 0.004757 0.007799 0.012930 0.021358 0.034649 0.057210
2026-07-26 0.002445 0.004314 0.007399 0.012844 0.022198 0.037605 0.064918
2026-08-02 0.002121 0.003913 0.007000 0.012678 0.022848 0.040285 0.072458
2026-08-09 0.001907 0.003666 0.006819 0.012848 0.024070 0.044039 0.082277
2026-08-16 0.001689 0.003377 0.006518 0.012748 0.024773 0.046938 0.090892
2026-08-23 0.001468 0.003047 0.006093 0.012349 0.024853 0.048685 0.097547
2026-08-30 0.001275 0.002745 0.005677 0.011905 0.024772 0.050092 0.103682
2026-09-06 0.001170 0.002609 0.005576 0.012090 0.025991 0.054211 0.115818
2026-09-13 0.001058 0.002443 0.005392 0.012077 0.026802 0.057613 0.126936
2026-09-20 0.000961 0.002292 0.005220 0.012064 0.027604 0.061087 0.138638
2026-09-27 0.000887 0.002184 0.005126 0.012208 0.028765 0.065455 0.152829
2026-10-04 0.000832 0.002114 0.005105 0.012514 0.030331 0.070886 0.170077
2026-10-11 0.000735 0.001926 0.004787 0.012078 0.030106 0.072254 0.178111
2026-10-18 0.000671 0.001810 0.004625 0.011997 0.030720 0.075626 0.191304
2026-10-25 0.000610 0.001694 0.004445 0.011843 0.031129 0.078555 0.203778
2026-11-01 0.000571 0.001630 0.004389 0.012001 0.032348 0.083590 0.222126
2026-11-08 0.000524 0.001537 0.004245 0.011907 0.032899 0.087023 0.236801
2026-11-15 0.000469 0.001415 0.004010 0.011535 0.032661 0.088417 0.246303