Robinhood price forecast: what the model says

HOOD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$84.45

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$88.10

Bear 68%

$47.24

Bull 68%

$184.88

68% Range Width

156.2%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $63.27 $69.57 $76.35 $84.23 $93.15 $102.98 $114.67
2026-11-29 $54.69 $63.14 $72.83 $84.85 $99.45 $116.79 $139.12
2026-12-06 $51.01 $61.23 $73.54 $89.66 $110.46 $136.79 $173.25
2026-12-13 $47.25 $58.49 $72.59 $91.87 $118.03 $153.02 $204.63
2026-12-20 $44.48 $56.54 $72.19 $94.43 $126.00 $170.39 $239.86
2026-12-27 $42.44 $55.22 $72.34 $97.55 $134.82 $189.79 $280.85
2027-01-03 $38.95 $51.59 $68.93 $95.16 $135.23 $196.59 $303.05
2027-01-10 $35.27 $47.39 $64.32 $90.51 $131.59 $196.49 $313.57
2027-01-17 $32.35 $44.03 $60.64 $86.86 $129.02 $197.64 $326.14
2027-01-24 $30.28 $41.76 $58.36 $85.12 $129.23 $203.25 $347.41
2027-01-31 $29.47 $41.25 $58.64 $87.35 $136.11 $221.00 $394.38
2027-02-07 $27.94 $39.57 $57.00 $86.32 $137.33 $228.75 $422.87
2027-02-14 $26.62 $38.15 $55.72 $85.90 $139.71 $239.27 $459.85
2027-02-21 $25.62 $37.18 $55.08 $86.47 $143.93 $253.81 $508.62
2027-02-28 $25.59 $37.71 $56.89 $91.38 $156.66 $287.01 $607.99
2027-03-07 $25.03 $37.35 $57.18 $93.63 $164.59 $311.55 $692.92
2027-03-14 $24.57 $37.12 $57.67 $96.26 $173.52 $339.64 $794.88
2027-03-21 $24.23 $37.06 $58.44 $99.45 $183.97 $372.88 $921.36
2027-03-28 $22.99 $35.42 $56.34 $97.00 $182.28 $377.47 $964.91
2027-04-04 $21.46 $33.23 $53.16 $92.24 $175.15 $367.95 $962.47
2027-04-11 $20.20 $31.43 $50.59 $88.50 $169.95 $362.60 $972.63
2027-04-18 $19.31 $30.23 $49.05 $86.71 $168.91 $367.67 $1,019.05
2027-04-25 $19.07 $30.16 $49.52 $89.00 $177.33 $398.51 $1,164.97
2027-05-02 $18.37 $29.24 $48.41 $87.95 $177.91 $408.54 $1,238.89
2027-05-09 $17.76 $28.48 $47.58 $87.52 $180.12 $424.05 $1,342.48
2027-05-16 $17.32 $28.00 $47.24 $88.10 $184.88 $447.80 $1,490.30

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.