FormFactor price forecast: what the model says

FORM SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$86.28

Base Path by May 16, 2027

$107.25

Bear 68%

$45.91

Bull 68%

N/A

68% Range Width

N/A

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $59.98 $66.68 $74.64 $85.05 $98.75 $116.93 $144.51
2026-11-29 $50.79 $58.94 $69.58 $85.35 $110.08 $152.55 $252.96
2026-12-06 $46.50 $55.63 $68.41 $89.37 $128.24 $219.44 $786.91
2026-12-13 $43.39 $53.04 $67.28 $92.63 $147.41 $336.36 N/A
2026-12-20 $41.28 $51.42 $67.06 $97.14 $173.84 $677.48 N/A
2026-12-27 $39.17 $49.42 $65.76 $99.06 $196.94 $2,448.43 N/A
2027-01-03 $37.22 $47.40 $64.01 $99.43 $217.08 N/A N/A
2027-01-10 $35.02 $44.76 $60.80 $95.65 $217.85 N/A N/A
2027-01-17 $33.51 $43.08 $59.09 $94.90 $232.81 N/A N/A
2027-01-24 $32.71 $42.46 $59.17 $98.53 $280.17 N/A N/A
2027-01-31 $31.34 $40.78 $57.09 $96.08 $286.84 N/A N/A
2027-02-07 $30.46 $39.86 $56.35 $97.04 $325.61 N/A N/A
2027-02-14 $29.12 $38.23 $54.33 $94.85 $343.69 N/A N/A
2027-02-21 $28.09 $37.07 $53.19 $95.09 $401.43 N/A N/A
2027-02-28 $27.55 $36.71 $53.56 $100.07 $616.25 N/A N/A
2027-03-07 $26.97 $36.21 $53.59 $104.14 $1,102.80 N/A N/A
2027-03-14 $26.53 $35.92 $53.99 $109.85 $7,546.61 N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $25.92 $35.27 $53.54 $112.30 N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-28 $25.25 $34.47 $52.67 $112.77 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-04 $24.36 $33.23 $50.69 $107.96 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-11 $23.73 $32.43 $49.66 $107.01 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-18 $23.42 $32.19 $49.86 $111.62 N/A N/A N/A
2027-04-25 $22.77 $31.30 $48.47 $108.50 N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-02 $22.35 $30.82 $48.02 $109.72 N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-09 $21.69 $29.92 $46.65 $106.94 N/A N/A N/A
2027-05-16 $21.17 $29.29 $45.91 $107.25 N/A N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.