Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 3.633512 4.039998 4.475978 4.978850 5.543484 6.158576 6.880314
2026-06-21 3.096165 3.652773 4.288915 5.071644 6.011437 7.106735 8.484732
2026-06-28 2.680786 3.293207 4.024251 4.964827 6.148135 7.594258 9.505887
2026-07-05 2.461232 3.126673 3.950298 5.050407 6.490022 8.321695 10.847613
2026-07-12 2.213915 2.893037 3.759671 4.954580 6.571685 8.701508 11.747823
2026-07-19 1.995684 2.673282 3.561520 4.821076 6.577286 8.962715 12.488255
2026-07-26 1.839769 2.521021 3.436354 4.768370 6.677639 9.346387 13.413342
2026-08-02 1.697749 2.375027 3.305744 4.692663 6.731802 9.658559 14.247306
2026-08-09 1.575771 2.247054 3.189026 4.624099 6.784796 9.964088 15.084213
2026-08-16 1.439442 2.088395 3.016374 4.458708 6.677736 10.017674 15.530100
2026-08-23 1.296704 1.910799 2.804008 4.217679 6.435658 9.843612 15.595857
2026-08-30 1.211377 1.813241 2.703816 4.139380 6.436931 10.042025 16.267956
2026-09-06 1.227538 1.872771 2.847691 4.454807 7.090382 11.334056 18.873072
2026-09-13 1.184920 1.838269 2.843791 4.534464 7.367612 12.035382 20.539994
2026-09-20 1.107294 1.743273 2.738028 4.440028 7.347169 12.235436 21.344460
2026-09-27 1.072460 1.714533 2.735956 4.515833 7.617677 12.946610 23.116135
2026-10-04 1.007910 1.633216 2.642892 4.430936 7.602912 13.157289 23.984390
2026-10-11 0.942123 1.546008 2.534802 4.312628 7.519742 13.237742 24.610188
2026-10-18 0.894659 1.486898 2.470361 4.265912 7.560417 13.542687 25.687009
2026-10-25 0.847070 1.424884 2.397306 4.198802 7.558174 13.765992 26.618535
2026-11-01 0.803947 1.368233 2.330278 4.138012 7.562621 14.000153 27.587625
2026-11-08 0.749769 1.289397 2.220115 3.991341 7.394616 13.891195 27.843706
2026-11-15 0.688655 1.195307 2.078191 3.777494 7.084069 13.483450 27.443025