AR/USD Asset Valuation

LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC | 23-WEEK HORIZON

68% Bear Target

$1.378

23-Week Base Target

$3.568

68% Bull Target

$9.522

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-11-22 $2.226 $2.535 $2.874 $3.271 $3.725 $4.229 $4.83
2026-11-29 $1.732 $2.151 $2.65 $3.29 $4.091 $5.063 $6.333
2026-12-06 $1.499 $1.998 $2.638 $3.521 $4.713 $6.27 $8.472
2026-12-13 $1.281 $1.812 $2.535 $3.596 $5.122 $7.248 $10.46
2026-12-20 $1.137 $1.694 $2.492 $3.73 $5.61 $8.383 $12.82
2026-12-27 $0.9958 $1.552 $2.388 $3.745 $5.913 $9.274 $14.94
2027-01-03 $0.8639 $1.402 $2.245 $3.674 $6.059 $9.928 $16.76
2027-01-10 $0.7288 $1.226 $2.036 $3.461 $5.939 $10.12 $17.84
2027-01-17 $0.6432 $1.12 $1.923 $3.389 $6.037 $10.68 $19.61
2027-01-24 $0.5781 $1.039 $1.842 $3.359 $6.198 $11.37 $21.68
2027-01-31 $0.5366 $0.9947 $1.818 $3.425 $6.537 $12.41 $24.57
2027-02-07 $0.4939 $0.9423 $1.772 $3.443 $6.786 $13.31 $27.30
2027-02-14 $0.4509 $0.8849 $1.712 $3.429 $6.977 $14.13 $30.03
2027-02-21 $0.4151 $0.8374 $1.665 $3.436 $7.212 $15.07 $33.16
2027-02-28 $0.4071 $0.8445 $1.727 $3.672 $7.956 $17.17 $39.14
2027-03-07 $0.3836 $0.8165 $1.714 $3.748 $8.364 $18.61 $43.84
2027-03-14 $0.3678 $0.803 $1.729 $3.887 $8.929 $20.46 $49.82
2027-03-21 $0.3431 $0.767 $1.691 $3.903 $9.214 $21.72 $54.53
2027-03-28 $0.3139 $0.7178 $1.619 $3.828 $9.274 $22.45 $58.05
2027-04-04 $0.2774 $0.6474 $1.491 $3.606 $8.948 $22.20 $58.99
2027-04-11 $0.2546 $0.6067 $1.427 $3.531 $8.978 $22.84 $62.40
2027-04-18 $0.2367 $0.5757 $1.383 $3.50 $9.115 $23.77 $66.76
2027-04-25 $0.2262 $0.5618 $1.378 $3.568 $9.522 $25.46 $73.54

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a projection of AR's valuation against the US Dollar (USD) using a Seasonal ARIMA model combined with a Box-Cox transformation to normalize historical volatility.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.