ZRX Risk Matrix

$0.1155 | Risk: 0.44

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 ZRX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0016
Level 0.05 $0.0119
Level 0.10 $0.0253
Level 0.15 $0.0387
Level 0.20 $0.0522
Level 0.25 $0.0656
Level 0.30 $0.0791
Level 0.35 $0.0925
Level 0.40 $0.1060
Level 0.45 $0.1194
Level 0.50 $0.1329
Level 0.55 $0.1463
Level 0.60 $0.1598
Level 0.65 $0.1732
Level 0.70 $0.1866
Level 0.75 $0.2001
Level 0.80 $0.2135
Level 0.85 $0.2270
Level 0.90 $0.2404
Level 0.95 $0.2539
Level 1.00 $0.2673

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ZRX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ZRX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.