0x against its 20-week moving average: risk level

ZRX Risk Matrix

$0.0908 | Risk: 0.33

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 ZRX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0007982
Level 0.05 $0.0131
Level 0.10 $0.0270
Level 0.15 $0.0409
Level 0.20 $0.0548
Level 0.25 $0.0687
Level 0.30 $0.0826
Level 0.35 $0.0965
Level 0.40 $0.1104
Level 0.45 $0.1243
Level 0.50 $0.1382
Level 0.55 $0.1521
Level 0.60 $0.1660
Level 0.65 $0.1799
Level 0.70 $0.1938
Level 0.75 $0.2077
Level 0.80 $0.2216
Level 0.85 $0.2355
Level 0.90 $0.2495
Level 0.95 $0.2634
Level 1.00 $0.2773

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ZRX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ZRX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.