XDC Risk Matrix

$0.0281 | Risk: 0.26

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 XDC Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.0072
Level 0.05 $0.0112
Level 0.10 $0.0152
Level 0.15 $0.0192
Level 0.20 $0.0231
Level 0.25 $0.0271
Level 0.30 $0.0311
Level 0.35 $0.0351
Level 0.40 $0.0390
Level 0.45 $0.0430
Level 0.50 $0.0470
Level 0.55 $0.0510
Level 0.60 $0.0549
Level 0.65 $0.0589
Level 0.70 $0.0629
Level 0.75 $0.0669
Level 0.80 $0.0708
Level 0.85 $0.0748
Level 0.90 $0.0788
Level 0.95 $0.0828
Level 1.00 $0.0867

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes XDC's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what XDC's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.