WLD Risk Matrix

$0.4256 | Risk: 0.34

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 WLD Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.1941
Level 0.05 $-0.1017
Level 0.10 $-0.0092
Level 0.15 $0.0832
Level 0.20 $0.1756
Level 0.25 $0.2681
Level 0.30 $0.3605
Level 0.35 $0.4530
Level 0.40 $0.5454
Level 0.45 $0.6378
Level 0.50 $0.7303
Level 0.55 $0.8227
Level 0.60 $0.9152
Level 0.65 $1.0076
Level 0.70 $1.1001
Level 0.75 $1.1925
Level 0.80 $1.2849
Level 0.85 $1.3774
Level 0.90 $1.4698
Level 0.95 $1.5623
Level 1.00 $1.6547

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes WLD's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what WLD's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.