TAO22974 Risk Matrix

$249.4200 | Risk: 0.33

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 TAO22974 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $68.3500
Level 0.05 $96.1582
Level 0.10 $123.9663
Level 0.15 $151.7745
Level 0.20 $179.5826
Level 0.25 $207.3908
Level 0.30 $235.1989
Level 0.35 $263.0071
Level 0.40 $290.8153
Level 0.45 $318.6234
Level 0.50 $346.4316
Level 0.55 $374.2397
Level 0.60 $402.0479
Level 0.65 $429.8560
Level 0.70 $457.6642
Level 0.75 $485.4724
Level 0.80 $513.2805
Level 0.85 $541.0887
Level 0.90 $568.8968
Level 0.95 $596.7050
Level 1.00 $624.5131

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes TAO22974's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what TAO22974's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.