Shiba Inu against its 20-week moving average: risk level

SHIB Risk Matrix

$0.000004460 | Risk: 0.21

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 SHIB Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.000001119
Level 0.05 $0.0000001888
Level 0.10 $0.000001497
Level 0.15 $0.000002805
Level 0.20 $0.000004113
Level 0.25 $0.000005421
Level 0.30 $0.000006729
Level 0.35 $0.000008038
Level 0.40 $0.000009346
Level 0.45 $0.00001065
Level 0.50 $0.00001196
Level 0.55 $0.00001327
Level 0.60 $0.00001458
Level 0.65 $0.00001589
Level 0.70 $0.00001719
Level 0.75 $0.00001850
Level 0.80 $0.00001981
Level 0.85 $0.00002112
Level 0.90 $0.00002243
Level 0.95 $0.00002373
Level 1.00 $0.00002504

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes SHIB's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what SHIB's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.