SAND Risk Matrix

$0.0386 | Risk: 0.22

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 SAND Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0386
Level 0.05 $-0.0209
Level 0.10 $-0.0032
Level 0.15 $0.0145
Level 0.20 $0.0322
Level 0.25 $0.0499
Level 0.30 $0.0677
Level 0.35 $0.0854
Level 0.40 $0.1031
Level 0.45 $0.1208
Level 0.50 $0.1385
Level 0.55 $0.1562
Level 0.60 $0.1739
Level 0.65 $0.1916
Level 0.70 $0.2093
Level 0.75 $0.2271
Level 0.80 $0.2448
Level 0.85 $0.2625
Level 0.90 $0.2802
Level 0.95 $0.2979
Level 1.00 $0.3156

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes SAND's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what SAND's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.