The Sandbox against its 20-week moving average: risk level

SAND Risk Matrix

$0.0429 | Risk: 0.24

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 SAND Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0346
Level 0.05 $-0.0188
Level 0.10 $-0.002872
Level 0.15 $0.0130
Level 0.20 $0.0289
Level 0.25 $0.0448
Level 0.30 $0.0607
Level 0.35 $0.0765
Level 0.40 $0.0924
Level 0.45 $0.1083
Level 0.50 $0.1242
Level 0.55 $0.1401
Level 0.60 $0.1559
Level 0.65 $0.1718
Level 0.70 $0.1877
Level 0.75 $0.2036
Level 0.80 $0.2195
Level 0.85 $0.2354
Level 0.90 $0.2512
Level 0.95 $0.2671
Level 1.00 $0.2830

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes SAND's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what SAND's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.