Quant against its 20-week moving average: risk level

QNT Risk Matrix

$195.3500 | Risk: 0.68

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:54 UTC

📈 QNT Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $50.7759
Level 0.05 $61.4402
Level 0.10 $72.1044
Level 0.15 $82.7687
Level 0.20 $93.4329
Level 0.25 $104.0972
Level 0.30 $114.7614
Level 0.35 $125.4257
Level 0.40 $136.0899
Level 0.45 $146.7542
Level 0.50 $157.4184
Level 0.55 $168.0827
Level 0.60 $178.7469
Level 0.65 $189.4112
Level 0.70 $200.0754
Level 0.75 $210.7397
Level 0.80 $221.4039
Level 0.85 $232.0682
Level 0.90 $242.7324
Level 0.95 $253.3967
Level 1.00 $264.0609

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes QNT's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what QNT's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.