OSMO Risk Matrix

$0.0366 | Risk: 0.57

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 OSMO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0633
Level 0.05 $-0.0545
Level 0.10 $-0.0458
Level 0.15 $-0.0370
Level 0.20 $-0.0283
Level 0.25 $-0.0195
Level 0.30 $-0.0108
Level 0.35 $-0.0020
Level 0.40 $0.0067
Level 0.45 $0.0155
Level 0.50 $0.0242
Level 0.55 $0.0330
Level 0.60 $0.0418
Level 0.65 $0.0505
Level 0.70 $0.0593
Level 0.75 $0.0680
Level 0.80 $0.0768
Level 0.85 $0.0855
Level 0.90 $0.0943
Level 0.95 $0.1030
Level 1.00 $0.1118

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes OSMO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what OSMO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.