ONDO Risk Matrix

$0.3989 | Risk: 0.39

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 ONDO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1068
Level 0.05 $0.1445
Level 0.10 $0.1822
Level 0.15 $0.2199
Level 0.20 $0.2576
Level 0.25 $0.2953
Level 0.30 $0.3330
Level 0.35 $0.3707
Level 0.40 $0.4084
Level 0.45 $0.4461
Level 0.50 $0.4838
Level 0.55 $0.5215
Level 0.60 $0.5592
Level 0.65 $0.5969
Level 0.70 $0.6346
Level 0.75 $0.6723
Level 0.80 $0.7100
Level 0.85 $0.7477
Level 0.90 $0.7854
Level 0.95 $0.8231
Level 1.00 $0.8608

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ONDO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ONDO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.