Nexo against its 20-week moving average: risk level

NEXO Risk Matrix

$0.7190 | Risk: 0.28

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 NEXO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.1591
Level 0.05 $0.2606
Level 0.10 $0.3622
Level 0.15 $0.4637
Level 0.20 $0.5653
Level 0.25 $0.6668
Level 0.30 $0.7683
Level 0.35 $0.8699
Level 0.40 $0.9714
Level 0.45 $1.0730
Level 0.50 $1.1745
Level 0.55 $1.2761
Level 0.60 $1.3776
Level 0.65 $1.4791
Level 0.70 $1.5807
Level 0.75 $1.6822
Level 0.80 $1.7838
Level 0.85 $1.8853
Level 0.90 $1.9869
Level 0.95 $2.0884
Level 1.00 $2.1899

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes NEXO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what NEXO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.