NEO Risk Matrix

$2.3281 | Risk: 0.52

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 NEO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.8956
Level 0.05 $-0.5871
Level 0.10 $-0.2787
Level 0.15 $0.0298
Level 0.20 $0.3382
Level 0.25 $0.6467
Level 0.30 $0.9551
Level 0.35 $1.2636
Level 0.40 $1.5721
Level 0.45 $1.8805
Level 0.50 $2.1890
Level 0.55 $2.4974
Level 0.60 $2.8059
Level 0.65 $3.1143
Level 0.70 $3.4228
Level 0.75 $3.7312
Level 0.80 $4.0397
Level 0.85 $4.3481
Level 0.90 $4.6566
Level 0.95 $4.9650
Level 1.00 $5.2735

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes NEO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what NEO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.