Livepeer against its 20-week moving average: risk level

LPT Risk Matrix

$1.3283 | Risk: 0.28

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 LPT Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.5076
Level 0.05 $-0.1819
Level 0.10 $0.1439
Level 0.15 $0.4697
Level 0.20 $0.7955
Level 0.25 $1.1213
Level 0.30 $1.4470
Level 0.35 $1.7728
Level 0.40 $2.0986
Level 0.45 $2.4244
Level 0.50 $2.7502
Level 0.55 $3.0759
Level 0.60 $3.4017
Level 0.65 $3.7275
Level 0.70 $4.0533
Level 0.75 $4.3791
Level 0.80 $4.7048
Level 0.85 $5.0306
Level 0.90 $5.3564
Level 0.95 $5.6822
Level 1.00 $6.0080

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes LPT's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what LPT's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.