Internet Computer (ICP) 20-Week Moving Average Risk Level

📈 ICP Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level	Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00	$-1.3035
Level 0.05	$-0.9649
Level 0.10	$-0.6264
Level 0.15	$-0.2878
Level 0.20	$0.0507
Level 0.25	$0.3893
Level 0.30	$0.7278
Level 0.35	$1.0664
Level 0.40	$1.4049
Level 0.45	$1.7435
Level 0.50	$2.0820
Level 0.55	$2.4206
Level 0.60	$2.7591
Level 0.65	$3.0977
Level 0.70	$3.4362
Level 0.75	$3.7748
Level 0.80	$4.1133
Level 0.85	$4.4519
Level 0.90	$4.7904
Level 0.95	$5.1290
Level 1.00	$5.4675

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ICP's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ICP's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.