CryptoWeeklies / Glossary
What is a Gravity Risk score?
Short version: Gravity Risk is a 0–100 number for how far an asset has stretched away from its own long-run average price. Low means it is trading near that average. High means it is a long way above it.
Where the number comes from
Every asset here has a lifetime time-weighted average price, or TWAP — the average price it has traded at across its whole history, with every day counted equally. (That is its own explainer: what is TWAP?)
Gravity Risk measures the gap between today's price and that lifetime average, then scales the result onto 0–100 against how big that gap has been historically. An asset sitting exactly on its lifetime average scores near the floor. An asset at the most extended level it has ever reached scores near the ceiling.
The name is the metaphor: price is treated as something that gets pulled back toward its average, and the score is how far it has climbed away from it.
How to read it
- 0–25 — near or below the long-run average.
- 25–50 — moderately extended.
- 50–75 — well above average by its own history.
- 75–100 — at or near the most stretched it has been.
What it is not
It is not a prediction, and it is not a signal to buy or sell. A high score can stay high for a long time, and an asset in a genuine growth phase will spend most of that phase above its lifetime average — that is what growth looks like on this measure. It is also backward-looking by construction: an asset with a short history has a short average, and the score is less meaningful for it.
Read it as one input on where price sits relative to its own past, not as an answer.