DYDX Risk Matrix

$0.1272 | Risk: 0.66

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 DYDX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0800
Level 0.05 $-0.0642
Level 0.10 $-0.0484
Level 0.15 $-0.0326
Level 0.20 $-0.0168
Level 0.25 $-0.0010
Level 0.30 $0.0148
Level 0.35 $0.0306
Level 0.40 $0.0464
Level 0.45 $0.0622
Level 0.50 $0.0780
Level 0.55 $0.0938
Level 0.60 $0.1096
Level 0.65 $0.1254
Level 0.70 $0.1412
Level 0.75 $0.1570
Level 0.80 $0.1728
Level 0.85 $0.1886
Level 0.90 $0.2044
Level 0.95 $0.2202
Level 1.00 $0.2360

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes DYDX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what DYDX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.