dYdX against its 20-week moving average: risk level

DYDX Risk Matrix

$0.0930 | Risk: 0.57

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 DYDX Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0740
Level 0.05 $-0.0594
Level 0.10 $-0.0448
Level 0.15 $-0.0301
Level 0.20 $-0.0155
Level 0.25 $-0.0008356
Level 0.30 $0.0138
Level 0.35 $0.0284
Level 0.40 $0.0431
Level 0.45 $0.0577
Level 0.50 $0.0724
Level 0.55 $0.0870
Level 0.60 $0.1016
Level 0.65 $0.1163
Level 0.70 $0.1309
Level 0.75 $0.1456
Level 0.80 $0.1602
Level 0.85 $0.1748
Level 0.90 $0.1895
Level 0.95 $0.2041
Level 1.00 $0.2188

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes DYDX's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what DYDX's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.