Cronos against its 20-week moving average: risk level

CRO Risk Matrix

$0.0483 | Risk: 0.34

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 CRO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.005385
Level 0.05 $0.002401
Level 0.10 $0.0102
Level 0.15 $0.0180
Level 0.20 $0.0258
Level 0.25 $0.0335
Level 0.30 $0.0413
Level 0.35 $0.0491
Level 0.40 $0.0569
Level 0.45 $0.0647
Level 0.50 $0.0725
Level 0.55 $0.0803
Level 0.60 $0.0881
Level 0.65 $0.0958
Level 0.70 $0.1036
Level 0.75 $0.1114
Level 0.80 $0.1192
Level 0.85 $0.1270
Level 0.90 $0.1348
Level 0.95 $0.1426
Level 1.00 $0.1503

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes CRO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what CRO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.