COTI Risk Matrix

$0.0213 | Risk: 0.48

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 COTI Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0060
Level 0.05 $-0.0031
Level 0.10 $-0.0003
Level 0.15 $0.0026
Level 0.20 $0.0054
Level 0.25 $0.0083
Level 0.30 $0.0111
Level 0.35 $0.0140
Level 0.40 $0.0168
Level 0.45 $0.0197
Level 0.50 $0.0225
Level 0.55 $0.0254
Level 0.60 $0.0282
Level 0.65 $0.0311
Level 0.70 $0.0339
Level 0.75 $0.0368
Level 0.80 $0.0396
Level 0.85 $0.0425
Level 0.90 $0.0453
Level 0.95 $0.0482
Level 1.00 $0.0511

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes COTI's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what COTI's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.