COMP5692 Risk Matrix

$21.2200 | Risk: 0.39

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:55 UTC

📈 COMP5692 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.4724
Level 0.05 $2.3292
Level 0.10 $5.1308
Level 0.15 $7.9324
Level 0.20 $10.7340
Level 0.25 $13.5356
Level 0.30 $16.3373
Level 0.35 $19.1389
Level 0.40 $21.9405
Level 0.45 $24.7421
Level 0.50 $27.5437
Level 0.55 $30.3453
Level 0.60 $33.1469
Level 0.65 $35.9485
Level 0.70 $38.7501
Level 0.75 $41.5518
Level 0.80 $44.3534
Level 0.85 $47.1550
Level 0.90 $49.9566
Level 0.95 $52.7582
Level 1.00 $55.5598

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes COMP5692's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what COMP5692's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.