Compound against its 20-week moving average: risk level

COMP5692 Risk Matrix

$20.3900 | Risk: 0.35

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-11-09 16:55 UTC

📈 COMP5692 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.2555
Level 0.05 $2.6600
Level 0.10 $5.5755
Level 0.15 $8.4910
Level 0.20 $11.4065
Level 0.25 $14.3220
Level 0.30 $17.2375
Level 0.35 $20.1530
Level 0.40 $23.0685
Level 0.45 $25.9840
Level 0.50 $28.8995
Level 0.55 $31.8150
Level 0.60 $34.7305
Level 0.65 $37.6461
Level 0.70 $40.5616
Level 0.75 $43.4771
Level 0.80 $46.3926
Level 0.85 $49.3081
Level 0.90 $52.2236
Level 0.95 $55.1391
Level 1.00 $58.0546

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes COMP5692's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what COMP5692's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.