APT21794 Risk Matrix

$0.7374 | Risk: 0.49

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 APT21794 Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $0.0086
Level 0.05 $0.0836
Level 0.10 $0.1587
Level 0.15 $0.2337
Level 0.20 $0.3088
Level 0.25 $0.3839
Level 0.30 $0.4589
Level 0.35 $0.5340
Level 0.40 $0.6091
Level 0.45 $0.6841
Level 0.50 $0.7592
Level 0.55 $0.8343
Level 0.60 $0.9093
Level 0.65 $0.9844
Level 0.70 $1.0595
Level 0.75 $1.1345
Level 0.80 $1.2096
Level 0.85 $1.2846
Level 0.90 $1.3597
Level 0.95 $1.4348
Level 1.00 $1.5098

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes APT21794's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what APT21794's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.