ALGO Risk Matrix

$0.0979 | Risk: 0.39

INDICATOR: 20-WEEK SMA
LAST UPDATE: 2026-09-18 23:54 UTC

📈 ALGO Logarithmic Price vs Global Risk Bands

🎯 Algorithmic Risk Price Targets

Target Risk Level Required Price (USD)
Level 0.00 $-0.0135
Level 0.05 $0.0007
Level 0.10 $0.0149
Level 0.15 $0.0291
Level 0.20 $0.0433
Level 0.25 $0.0574
Level 0.30 $0.0716
Level 0.35 $0.0858
Level 0.40 $0.1000
Level 0.45 $0.1142
Level 0.50 $0.1283
Level 0.55 $0.1425
Level 0.60 $0.1567
Level 0.65 $0.1709
Level 0.70 $0.1851
Level 0.75 $0.1992
Level 0.80 $0.2134
Level 0.85 $0.2276
Level 0.90 $0.2418
Level 0.95 $0.2559
Level 1.00 $0.2701

📊 Mathematical Methodology

Plot Interpretation: This scatter plot visualizes ALGO's price relative to its 20-Week Simple Moving Average (SMA), represented by the dotted grey line. The underlying continuous price trend is visible in faint white, allowing you to toggle individual risk level overlays via the legend without losing structural context.

Risk Normalization (Winsorized): Risk levels are mathematically derived by measuring both the linear and proportional distance between the current price and the 20-week SMA. To prevent extreme flash-crashes (e.g., the March 2020 wick) from permanently distorting the scale, the algorithm uses Percentile Winsorization. We clip the absolute extremes at the 2nd and 98th percentiles, ensuring that structural multi-month cycle lows accurately map to deep-value zones (Risk 0.0).

Target Math: The Risk Table uses an exact algebraic reversal of the hybrid scale against today's 20-week SMA, calculating down to the dollar what ALGO's price must hit today to trigger a specific risk rating.