VST SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$141.95

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$175.23

Bear 68%

$102.40

Bull 68%

$368.13

68% Range Width

151.7%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $107.74 $117.90 $129.06 $142.31 $157.73 $175.25 $196.87
2026-10-04 $97.18 $109.99 $124.81 $143.47 $166.69 $195.13 $233.40
2026-10-11 $90.16 $104.40 $121.49 $143.92 $173.25 $211.31 $266.30
2026-10-18 $84.30 $99.39 $118.04 $143.37 $177.90 $225.04 $297.66
2026-10-25 $80.36 $96.25 $116.39 $144.60 $184.57 $241.82 $335.80
2026-11-01 $76.87 $93.33 $114.66 $145.37 $190.43 $257.92 $375.77
2026-11-08 $74.24 $91.27 $113.80 $147.09 $197.62 $276.74 $424.01
2026-11-15 $72.12 $89.72 $113.45 $149.39 $205.79 $298.13 $481.90
2026-11-22 $68.66 $86.09 $109.92 $146.64 $205.62 $305.36 $514.02
2026-11-29 $67.23 $85.17 $110.13 $149.47 $214.66 $329.92 $588.83
2026-12-06 $65.28 $83.40 $108.97 $150.04 $219.91 $348.27 $655.71
2026-12-13 $64.99 $83.94 $111.20 $156.11 $235.30 $388.84 $793.05
2026-12-20 $63.00 $82.13 $110.07 $157.08 $242.63 $416.64 $917.43
2026-12-27 $61.20 $80.47 $109.03 $158.09 $250.11 $446.53 $1,067.84
2027-01-03 $59.49 $78.84 $107.92 $158.81 $257.07 $476.88 $1,243.54
2027-01-10 $57.60 $76.83 $106.06 $158.05 $260.94 $500.80 $1,417.07
2027-01-17 $56.32 $75.68 $105.51 $159.55 $269.64 $539.47 $1,698.48
2027-01-24 $55.00 $74.41 $104.66 $160.40 $277.07 $577.04 $2,030.68
2027-01-31 $54.00 $73.57 $104.45 $162.42 $287.38 $626.42 $2,529.68
2027-02-07 $53.17 $72.96 $104.59 $165.09 $299.59 $686.43 $3,275.11
2027-02-14 $51.36 $70.72 $101.84 $161.90 $297.44 $698.73 $3,650.51
2027-02-21 $50.76 $70.38 $102.34 $165.18 $311.60 $773.62 $5,048.51
2027-02-28 $49.76 $69.36 $101.58 $165.84 $319.31 $828.63 $6,628.64
2027-03-07 $49.81 $70.04 $103.83 $172.91 $345.11 $971.86 $12,300.25
2027-03-14 $48.75 $68.96 $103.09 $174.05 $356.40 $1,067.05 $21,169.90
2027-03-21 $47.75 $67.94 $102.40 $175.23 $368.13 $1,175.37 $44,308.84

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.