SOUN SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$6.11

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$5.07

Bear 68%

$1.57

Bull 68%

$14.86

68% Range Width

262.4%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $3.76 $4.36 $5.01 $5.78 $6.65 $7.61 $8.75
2026-10-04 $2.91 $3.67 $4.58 $5.73 $7.14 $8.81 $10.92
2026-10-11 $2.30 $3.14 $4.20 $5.64 $7.51 $9.86 $13.03
2026-10-18 $1.84 $2.70 $3.84 $5.49 $7.76 $10.76 $15.02
2026-10-25 $1.49 $2.32 $3.51 $5.29 $7.89 $11.50 $16.85
2026-11-01 $1.27 $2.11 $3.36 $5.33 $8.33 $12.67 $19.36
2026-11-08 $1.14 $1.98 $3.31 $5.50 $8.96 $14.15 $22.43
2026-11-15 $0.9640 $1.77 $3.10 $5.38 $9.13 $14.96 $24.58
2026-11-22 $0.8397 $1.62 $2.96 $5.35 $9.43 $15.97 $27.09
2026-11-29 $0.7489 $1.52 $2.88 $5.40 $9.85 $17.20 $30.04
2026-12-06 $0.6686 $1.41 $2.79 $5.43 $10.22 $18.38 $32.99
2026-12-13 $0.6098 $1.35 $2.75 $5.53 $10.74 $19.82 $36.49
2026-12-20 $0.5124 $1.19 $2.55 $5.33 $10.73 $20.46 $38.83
2026-12-27 $0.4521 $1.10 $2.46 $5.35 $11.14 $21.87 $42.69
2027-01-03 $0.3934 $1.01 $2.34 $5.30 $11.40 $23.05 $46.24
2027-01-10 $0.3375 $0.9104 $2.21 $5.17 $11.51 $23.95 $49.36
2027-01-17 $0.2868 $0.8133 $2.05 $5.00 $11.50 $24.61 $52.07
2027-01-24 $0.2574 $0.7640 $2.00 $5.04 $11.94 $26.20 $56.73
2027-01-31 $0.2385 $0.7385 $2.00 $5.20 $12.65 $28.39 $62.78
2027-02-07 $0.2076 $0.6734 $1.90 $5.09 $12.75 $29.34 $66.38
2027-02-14 $0.1847 $0.6264 $1.83 $5.07 $13.04 $30.69 $70.92
2027-02-21 $0.1678 $0.5936 $1.79 $5.11 $13.50 $32.46 $76.49
2027-02-28 $0.1520 $0.5606 $1.75 $5.14 $13.91 $34.16 $82.05
2027-03-07 $0.1405 $0.5390 $1.74 $5.24 $14.51 $36.33 $88.80
2027-03-14 $0.1188 $0.4806 $1.61 $5.05 $14.41 $37.02 $92.62
2027-03-21 $0.1058 $0.4493 $1.57 $5.07 $14.86 $39.06 $99.74

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.