Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SEI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 0.027355 0.033024 0.039326 0.046815 0.055437 0.065012 0.076412
2026-06-21 0.017109 0.023951 0.032469 0.043694 0.057920 0.075165 0.097445
2026-06-28 0.012584 0.020099 0.030420 0.045236 0.065514 0.091806 0.127909
2026-07-05 0.009524 0.017191 0.028697 0.046498 0.072493 0.108109 0.159455
2026-07-12 0.007258 0.014727 0.026907 0.047069 0.078234 0.123003 0.190237
2026-07-19 0.004814 0.011171 0.022544 0.042797 0.076032 0.126151 0.204584
2026-07-26 0.003302 0.008758 0.019437 0.039802 0.075093 0.130668 0.220836
2026-08-02 0.002350 0.007112 0.017271 0.037915 0.075499 0.137002 0.239983
2026-08-09 0.001952 0.006565 0.017087 0.039527 0.081906 0.153229 0.275398
2026-08-16 0.001552 0.005847 0.016366 0.039943 0.086153 0.166135 0.306248
2026-08-23 0.001103 0.004787 0.014612 0.037954 0.085699 0.170999 0.324234
2026-08-30 0.000839 0.004144 0.013660 0.037447 0.087907 0.180501 0.350360
2026-09-06 0.000664 0.003736 0.013265 0.038268 0.093146 0.196361 0.389369
2026-09-13 0.000445 0.003006 0.011795 0.036370 0.092734 0.202126 0.411681
2026-09-20 0.000364 0.002808 0.011794 0.038019 0.099933 0.222572 0.461180
2026-09-27 0.000291 0.002582 0.011639 0.039250 0.106367 0.242039 0.510090
2026-10-04 0.000223 0.002314 0.011255 0.039804 0.111347 0.259039 0.555472
2026-10-11 0.000126 0.001716 0.009463 0.036107 0.106158 0.255567 0.562811
2026-10-18 0.000072 0.001314 0.008181 0.033513 0.103115 0.256016 0.577339
2026-10-25 0.000043 0.001046 0.007296 0.031879 0.102138 0.260559 0.599853
2026-11-01 0.000034 0.000989 0.007352 0.033279 0.108986 0.282092 0.656603
2026-11-08 0.000024 0.000883 0.007115 0.033641 0.113146 0.298046 0.702976
2026-11-15 0.000013 0.000696 0.006333 0.031915 0.111546 0.301286 0.724073