RSKD SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$6.28

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

N/A

Bear 68%

$0.0000

Bull 68%

N/A

68% Range Width

N/A

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $3.87 $4.40 $5.26 $7.60 N/A N/A N/A
2026-10-04 $2.41 $2.85 $3.81 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-10-11 $1.48 $1.78 $2.46 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-10-18 $0.9138 $1.10 $1.54 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-10-25 $0.5636 $0.6777 $0.9543 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-11-01 $0.3476 $0.4180 $0.5892 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-11-08 $0.2144 $0.2579 $0.3636 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-11-15 $0.1322 $0.1591 $0.2243 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-11-22 $0.0816 $0.0981 $0.1383 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-11-29 $0.0503 $0.0605 $0.0853 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-06 $0.0310 $0.0373 $0.0526 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-13 $0.0191 $0.0230 $0.0325 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-20 $0.0118 $0.0142 $0.0200 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2026-12-27 $0.0073 $0.0088 $0.0123 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-03 $0.0045 $0.0054 $0.0076 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-10 $0.0028 $0.0033 $0.0047 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-17 $0.0017 $0.0021 $0.0029 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-24 $0.0011 $0.0013 $0.0018 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-01-31 $0.0007 $0.0008 $0.0011 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-07 $0.0004 $0.0005 $0.0007 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-14 $0.0002 $0.0003 $0.0004 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-21 $0.0002 $0.0002 $0.0003 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-02-28 $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0002 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-07 $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-14 $0.0000 $0.0000 $0.0001 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2027-03-21 $0.0000 $0.0000 $0.0000 N/A N/A N/A N/A

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.