RGTI SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$15.64

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$16.75

Bear 68%

$5.65

Bull 68%

$45.50

68% Range Width

237.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $10.38 $11.89 $13.53 $15.43 $17.57 $19.91 $22.66
2026-08-16 $8.43 $10.49 $12.90 $15.91 $19.54 $23.79 $29.12
2026-08-23 $6.82 $9.15 $12.06 $15.92 $20.88 $27.04 $35.20
2026-08-30 $5.66 $8.13 $11.40 $16.00 $22.25 $30.39 $41.76
2026-09-06 $4.83 $7.39 $10.96 $16.24 $23.79 $34.08 $49.08
2026-09-13 $4.17 $6.76 $10.56 $16.46 $25.26 $37.77 $56.72
2026-09-20 $3.71 $6.34 $10.38 $16.92 $27.09 $42.09 $65.60
2026-09-27 $3.15 $5.68 $9.75 $16.61 $27.68 $44.60 $72.02
2026-10-04 $2.83 $5.35 $9.58 $16.97 $29.32 $48.79 $81.29
2026-10-11 $2.46 $4.87 $9.09 $16.74 $29.96 $51.44 $88.32
2026-10-18 $2.13 $4.43 $8.59 $16.42 $30.40 $53.78 $94.99
2026-10-25 $1.89 $4.11 $8.28 $16.37 $31.27 $56.86 $103.09
2026-11-01 $1.64 $3.72 $7.80 $16.00 $31.56 $59.02 $109.93
2026-11-08 $1.51 $3.57 $7.74 $16.39 $33.28 $63.83 $121.73
2026-11-15 $1.34 $3.32 $7.47 $16.35 $34.16 $67.21 $131.24
2026-11-22 $1.21 $3.12 $7.26 $16.39 $35.23 $70.97 $141.74
2026-11-29 $1.11 $2.97 $7.15 $16.63 $36.66 $75.53 $154.02
2026-12-06 $1.02 $2.83 $7.03 $16.83 $38.06 $80.12 $166.68
2026-12-13 $0.9518 $2.75 $7.04 $17.30 $40.04 $85.97 $182.17
2026-12-20 $0.8426 $2.54 $6.71 $16.97 $40.29 $88.40 $191.09
2026-12-27 $0.7869 $2.45 $6.68 $17.34 $42.07 $94.05 $206.83
2027-01-03 $0.7040 $2.28 $6.41 $17.10 $42.49 $96.91 $217.08
2027-01-10 $0.6264 $2.11 $6.12 $16.78 $42.68 $99.30 $226.51
2027-01-17 $0.5700 $1.99 $5.95 $16.73 $43.49 $103.07 $239.08
2027-01-24 $0.5031 $1.83 $5.65 $16.34 $43.52 $105.22 $248.58
2027-01-31 $0.4730 $1.79 $5.65 $16.75 $45.50 $111.87 $268.35

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.