RGTI SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$15.43

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$15.66

Bear 68%

$5.48

Bull 68%

$40.21

68% Range Width

221.8%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $10.21 $11.66 $13.21 $14.99 $16.99 $19.15 $21.67
2026-10-04 $8.22 $10.18 $12.44 $15.23 $18.57 $22.42 $27.18
2026-10-11 $6.56 $8.75 $11.45 $14.98 $19.46 $24.90 $32.01
2026-10-18 $5.30 $7.58 $10.56 $14.66 $20.14 $27.14 $36.68
2026-10-25 $4.42 $6.75 $9.93 $14.56 $21.02 $29.63 $41.85
2026-11-01 $3.70 $6.00 $9.31 $14.34 $21.67 $31.81 $46.73
2026-11-08 $3.29 $5.62 $9.14 $14.71 $23.13 $35.18 $53.46
2026-11-15 $2.84 $5.13 $8.73 $14.65 $23.92 $37.61 $58.99
2026-11-22 $2.49 $4.72 $8.39 $14.64 $24.77 $40.15 $64.82
2026-11-29 $2.22 $4.42 $8.18 $14.80 $25.84 $43.08 $71.38
2026-12-06 $2.00 $4.17 $8.01 $14.99 $26.97 $46.14 $78.33
2026-12-13 $1.84 $4.01 $7.96 $15.39 $28.46 $49.84 $86.48
2026-12-20 $1.60 $3.64 $7.54 $15.08 $28.75 $51.67 $91.82
2026-12-27 $1.46 $3.48 $7.46 $15.40 $30.15 $55.42 $100.56
2027-01-03 $1.28 $3.20 $7.12 $15.18 $30.57 $57.55 $106.70
2027-01-10 $1.12 $2.93 $6.76 $14.88 $30.80 $59.34 $112.35
2027-01-17 $0.9973 $2.73 $6.52 $14.79 $31.41 $61.82 $119.32
2027-01-24 $0.8795 $2.52 $6.23 $14.58 $31.75 $63.81 $125.55
2027-01-31 $0.8215 $2.44 $6.23 $14.96 $33.29 $68.10 $136.12
2027-02-07 $0.7379 $2.29 $6.04 $14.90 $33.92 $70.71 $143.77
2027-02-14 $0.6679 $2.16 $5.88 $14.89 $34.67 $73.59 $152.03
2027-02-21 $0.6145 $2.07 $5.80 $15.05 $35.75 $77.16 $161.78
2027-02-28 $0.5686 $1.99 $5.73 $15.25 $36.93 $80.98 $172.20
2027-03-07 $0.5370 $1.95 $5.76 $15.65 $38.58 $85.83 $184.84
2027-03-14 $0.4728 $1.79 $5.49 $15.33 $38.67 $87.60 $191.68
2027-03-21 $0.4419 $1.74 $5.48 $15.66 $40.21 $92.45 $204.93

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.