QTUM SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$144.46

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$181.14

Bear 68%

$126.43

Bull 68%

$280.24

68% Range Width

84.9%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $125.38 $131.65 $138.11 $145.26 $152.99 $161.08 $170.23
2026-10-04 $117.77 $126.88 $136.63 $147.89 $160.58 $174.51 $191.07
2026-10-11 $111.34 $122.16 $134.05 $148.20 $164.69 $183.46 $206.65
2026-10-18 $105.56 $117.44 $130.80 $147.06 $166.52 $189.32 $218.45
2026-10-25 $102.16 $115.08 $129.88 $148.29 $170.86 $198.04 $233.87
2026-11-01 $100.65 $114.72 $131.13 $151.97 $178.14 $210.53 $254.63
2026-11-08 $98.64 $113.57 $131.28 $154.17 $183.54 $220.80 $273.07
2026-11-15 $96.32 $111.90 $130.62 $155.23 $187.41 $229.17 $289.41
2026-11-22 $93.14 $108.99 $128.26 $153.92 $188.03 $233.15 $299.81
2026-11-29 $90.97 $107.23 $127.23 $154.22 $190.71 $239.93 $314.51
2026-12-06 $89.82 $106.69 $127.68 $156.42 $195.97 $250.48 $335.39
2026-12-13 $88.56 $105.92 $127.78 $158.12 $200.55 $260.26 $355.81
2026-12-20 $86.99 $104.92 $127.80 $160.06 $206.13 $272.62 $382.70
2026-12-27 $85.94 $104.56 $128.66 $163.25 $213.72 $288.63 $417.47
2027-01-03 $83.92 $102.84 $127.60 $163.64 $217.19 $298.58 $443.22
2027-01-10 $81.46 $100.41 $125.44 $162.32 $217.98 $304.27 $462.11
2027-01-17 $80.11 $99.42 $125.21 $163.74 $222.95 $317.01 $495.17
2027-01-24 $79.80 $99.82 $126.90 $168.01 $232.58 $338.18 $547.00
2027-01-31 $78.96 $99.43 $127.44 $170.56 $239.61 $355.51 $593.97
2027-02-07 $77.75 $98.49 $127.13 $171.80 $244.52 $369.52 $636.28
2027-02-14 $75.80 $96.42 $125.12 $170.28 $244.75 $375.03 $661.02
2027-02-21 $74.49 $95.24 $124.34 $170.63 $248.12 $386.59 $701.15
2027-02-28 $73.88 $95.01 $124.95 $173.18 $255.40 $406.18 $763.69
2027-03-07 $73.13 $94.56 $125.20 $175.16 $261.76 $424.59 $827.21
2027-03-14 $72.21 $93.97 $125.41 $177.43 $269.47 $447.86 $913.00
2027-03-21 $71.64 $93.89 $126.43 $181.14 $280.24 $479.22 $1,032.15

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.