QQQ SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$710.46

Base Path by Mar 21, 2027

$790.11

Bear 68%

$666.92

Bull 68%

$940.25

68% Range Width

34.6%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-09-27 $661.03 $679.17 $697.09 $716.13 $735.76 $755.41 $776.58
2026-10-04 $636.95 $663.92 $690.99 $720.21 $750.87 $782.08 $816.26
2026-10-11 $622.88 $656.45 $690.58 $727.89 $767.54 $808.44 $853.82
2026-10-18 $606.63 $645.13 $684.69 $728.38 $775.31 $824.24 $879.15
2026-10-25 $592.63 $635.20 $679.31 $728.48 $781.80 $837.91 $901.49
2026-11-01 $581.71 $627.87 $676.09 $730.28 $789.53 $852.42 $924.30
2026-11-08 $573.83 $623.35 $675.46 $734.46 $799.47 $869.00 $949.13
2026-11-15 $563.84 $616.09 $671.45 $734.55 $804.58 $880.03 $967.61
2026-11-22 $550.75 $605.02 $662.87 $729.22 $803.35 $883.74 $977.70
2026-11-29 $542.54 $599.06 $659.67 $729.61 $808.22 $894.03 $994.99
2026-12-06 $537.34 $596.25 $659.77 $733.49 $816.87 $908.44 $1,016.87
2026-12-13 $535.29 $596.82 $663.52 $741.38 $829.95 $927.81 $1,044.41
2026-12-20 $533.18 $597.35 $667.32 $749.44 $843.44 $947.92 $1,073.22
2026-12-27 $529.03 $595.45 $668.25 $754.17 $853.08 $963.66 $1,097.10
2027-01-03 $527.42 $596.33 $672.26 $762.35 $866.65 $983.94 $1,126.32
2027-01-10 $521.06 $591.62 $669.73 $762.89 $871.28 $993.85 $1,143.48
2027-01-17 $514.75 $586.82 $666.97 $763.00 $875.33 $1,002.99 $1,159.70
2027-01-24 $509.84 $583.51 $665.81 $764.90 $881.36 $1,014.41 $1,178.60
2027-01-31 $506.70 $582.17 $666.87 $769.30 $890.30 $1,029.21 $1,201.57
2027-02-07 $501.11 $577.85 $664.34 $769.40 $894.08 $1,037.90 $1,217.25
2027-02-14 $492.28 $569.60 $657.08 $763.79 $890.95 $1,038.30 $1,222.91
2027-02-21 $487.33 $565.82 $654.98 $764.19 $894.91 $1,047.07 $1,238.63
2027-02-28 $484.73 $564.76 $656.03 $768.29 $903.26 $1,061.10 $1,260.76
2027-03-07 $484.70 $566.71 $660.62 $776.61 $916.70 $1,081.28 $1,290.50
2027-03-14 $484.54 $568.58 $665.23 $785.11 $930.59 $1,102.32 $1,321.77
2027-03-21 $482.39 $568.04 $666.92 $790.11 $940.25 $1,118.33 $1,347.01

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.