68% Bear Case

$39.95

23-Week Base Target

$79.52

68% Bull Case

$135.91

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation.

  • Bear Case: The lower bound of the confidence interval, representing a pessimistic scenario.
  • Base Case: The average forecasted trajectory.
  • Bull Case: The upper bound of the confidence interval, representing an optimistic scenario.

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%. This acts as a mathematical cone illustrating the probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull bounds over the next 23 weeks.

Raw Data Matrix (USD)

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-06-14 50.71 57.18 63.81 71.10 78.86 86.85 95.67
2026-06-21 40.84 50.37 60.62 72.37 85.37 99.22 115.00
2026-06-28 34.95 46.02 58.34 72.88 89.36 107.28 128.09
2026-07-05 31.56 43.97 58.19 75.36 95.19 117.12 142.91
2026-07-12 27.79 40.99 56.56 75.76 98.35 123.68 153.85
2026-07-19 23.56 37.01 53.36 74.01 98.75 126.88 160.77
2026-07-26 20.46 34.14 51.26 73.33 100.18 131.10 168.73
2026-08-02 18.15 32.07 49.97 73.46 102.46 136.21 177.62
2026-08-09 16.54 30.78 49.55 74.58 105.85 142.55 187.90
2026-08-16 14.69 29.00 48.35 74.61 107.81 147.14 196.09
2026-08-23 13.09 27.42 47.29 74.72 109.81 151.72 204.23
2026-08-30 11.24 25.28 45.35 73.56 110.13 154.21 209.82
2026-09-06 10.57 24.93 45.88 75.70 114.66 161.90 221.75
2026-09-13 9.72 24.23 45.88 77.09 118.24 168.44 232.33
2026-09-20 8.71 23.16 45.26 77.60 120.64 173.51 241.12
2026-09-27 8.35 23.14 46.17 80.17 125.71 181.86 253.91
2026-10-04 7.47 22.13 45.54 80.59 127.95 186.70 262.42
2026-10-11 6.17 20.18 43.37 78.78 127.20 187.76 266.29
2026-10-18 5.26 18.83 42.03 78.07 127.85 190.54 272.22
2026-10-25 4.60 17.91 41.33 78.21 129.60 194.69 279.83
2026-11-01 4.20 17.46 41.34 79.37 132.71 200.55 289.56
2026-11-08 3.64 16.58 40.60 79.40 134.26 204.42 296.82
2026-11-15 3.15 15.79 39.95 79.52 135.91 208.40 304.21