QBTS SARIMAX Forecast: Bear / Base / Bull Scenario Ladder

Current Spot

$19.51

Base Path by Jan 31, 2027

$23.33

Bear 68%

$10.57

Bull 68%

$45.69

68% Range Width

150.5%

Raw Forecast Scenario Matrix

Date Bear 99.7% Bear 95% Bear 68% Base Bull 68% Bull 95% Bull 99.7%
2026-08-09 $14.93 $16.63 $18.39 $20.36 $22.48 $24.70 $27.20
2026-08-16 $12.68 $15.12 $17.79 $20.90 $24.43 $28.27 $32.76
2026-08-23 $11.01 $13.95 $17.31 $21.39 $26.17 $31.57 $38.09
2026-08-30 $9.57 $12.81 $16.67 $21.52 $27.41 $34.24 $42.71
2026-09-06 $8.28 $11.70 $15.90 $21.37 $28.19 $36.31 $46.62
2026-09-13 $7.38 $10.93 $15.46 $21.52 $29.27 $38.72 $50.93
2026-09-20 $6.76 $10.47 $15.34 $22.02 $30.75 $41.60 $55.87
2026-09-27 $5.94 $9.64 $14.64 $21.69 $31.13 $43.07 $59.03
2026-10-04 $5.53 $9.34 $14.63 $22.24 $32.62 $45.96 $64.02
2026-10-11 $5.00 $8.79 $14.22 $22.21 $33.31 $47.80 $67.69
2026-10-18 $4.27 $7.88 $13.23 $21.30 $32.75 $47.95 $69.12
2026-10-25 $3.94 $7.57 $13.07 $21.54 $33.75 $50.17 $73.30
2026-11-01 $3.65 $7.30 $12.97 $21.89 $34.96 $52.76 $78.11
2026-11-08 $3.38 $7.03 $12.86 $22.21 $36.12 $55.31 $82.93
2026-11-15 $3.14 $6.81 $12.80 $22.59 $37.38 $58.02 $88.02
2026-11-22 $2.87 $6.48 $12.56 $22.68 $38.20 $60.12 $92.30
2026-11-29 $2.58 $6.09 $12.16 $22.48 $38.58 $61.61 $95.76
2026-12-06 $2.37 $5.83 $11.98 $22.63 $39.46 $63.81 $100.23
2026-12-13 $2.24 $5.72 $12.03 $23.14 $40.91 $66.85 $105.93
2026-12-20 $2.00 $5.34 $11.59 $22.81 $41.03 $67.94 $108.88
2026-12-27 $1.90 $5.27 $11.68 $23.37 $42.57 $71.14 $114.88
2027-01-03 $1.73 $5.02 $11.43 $23.34 $43.15 $72.92 $118.86
2027-01-10 $1.47 $4.52 $10.68 $22.39 $42.23 $72.43 $119.52
2027-01-17 $1.37 $4.38 $10.61 $22.64 $43.23 $74.85 $124.46
2027-01-24 $1.28 $4.27 $10.60 $23.01 $44.48 $77.73 $130.25
2027-01-31 $1.20 $4.15 $10.57 $23.33 $45.69 $80.58 $136.04

SARIMAX Forecasting Methodology

The forecast engine resamples daily prices into weekly structure, stabilizes variance through Box-Cox transformation, fits a SARIMAX trend model, then converts the forecast and confidence intervals back into price space. The log-scale y-axis uses a fixed clean tick ladder so the chart reads consistently across low-priced and high-priced equities.

The 68% band is the primary operating range; the 95% and 99.7% bands are wider stress envelopes for unusually strong regime outcomes.